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Found 1 result

  1. CarpCrazed

    Carp Probability Calculator

    Hello fellow CAG members! Lately I've had an idea that, if followed through, could be my next go-to tool in carp fishing. As you can see in my interests column, besides carp fishing I love computer programming. So I've decided to combine my two passions to make a probability calculator, where you input several factors such as wind, moon phase, tide (if applicable), water temperature, etc., and a general probability of catching a certain number of carp is calculated. Of course, the program will never be completely accurate, but I would like to take on the challenge of programming such a tool. Who knows, it may become a carp anglers' best friend! My question to you is what variables/factors should determine the outcome? Which circumstances of said variable will catch the most and least fish? For example, if one of the variables you have in mind is water temperature, you could say, " Water Temperature - 5) 60-70 Degrees 4) 70-80 Degrees 3) 50-60 Degrees 2) 80-100 Degrees 1) 0-40 Degrees " Based on the user input, a percentage for that variable would be calculated. For example, if the user says that the water temperature is 65 degrees, that would be considered a 5/5, or a 100% chance. These percentages would be calculated for every variable and averaged. If the average percentage is 0 or 100 percent, since there are no certainties in fishing, the program would output a 1 or 99 percent chance of catching a carp, respectively. The odds of catching two carp would be half the odds of catching one, three carp a third, etc. Any ideas?
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